A bayesian analysis of a random coefficient model in a simple keynesian system

Hiroki Tsurumi, Tsunemasa Shiba

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

3 Citations (Scopus)


The marginal propensity to consume in a simple Keynesian model is treated as a random coefficient. This gives rise to the problem of quotient of random variables, i.e., the Fieller-Creasy problem. The Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimators are compared in sampling experiments. The Bayesian estimators have smaller mean squared errors than the maximum likelihood estimators. Marginal posterior probability density functions for a given sample are also presented.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)239-249
Number of pages11
JournalJournal of Econometrics
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 1982
Externally publishedYes


ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Economics and Econometrics
  • Finance
  • Statistics and Probability

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