A flexible long-term load forecasting approach based on new dynamic simulation theory - GSIM

N. X. Jia, R. Yokoyama, Y. C. Zhou, Z. Y. Gao

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

    37 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Load forecasting is a difficult task because of the complex relations existing in the load and the load-affecting factors. This paper presents a flexible long-term load forecasting method based on a new dynamic theory - General Simulation (GSIM) theory that can treat two kinds of logical and intuitive information simultaneously and integrally. We divide the relations of factors affecting load demand into functional relations and impact relations. Owing to describing the functional relations by functional formula and impact relations by impact matrix, we can consider both of the relations as a whole simultaneously in our load model. The successful load forecasting results prove the possibility of improving the forecasting accuracy of conventional approaches.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)549-556
    Number of pages8
    JournalInternational Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems
    Volume23
    Issue number7
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2001 Oct

    Keywords

    • GSIM theory
    • Impact relation
    • Long-term load forecasting

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Energy Engineering and Power Technology
    • Electrical and Electronic Engineering

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