TY - GEN
T1 - Application of non-linear modeling methods to wind power estimation
AU - Watanabe, Yohei
AU - Wakao, Shinji
AU - Takinami, Tsutomu
AU - Oishi, Kohei
PY - 2007/12/1
Y1 - 2007/12/1
N2 - To reduce the fluctuation of wind power output by installing storage batteries to wind power generation, accurate estimation of wind power is indispensable. Calculation based on Power Curve, general method to estimate wind power output, often causes unavoidable error due to influences of time fluctuation of wind speed and direction. Therefore, we propose to apply Just-In-Time (JIT) Modeling to the estimation and the forecast of wind power output. JIT Modeling has the advantage that the algorithm is relatively simple. Compared with another non-linear modeling method, we confirmed the validation of JIT Modeling against the estimation and forecasts of wind power output through computational simulations.
AB - To reduce the fluctuation of wind power output by installing storage batteries to wind power generation, accurate estimation of wind power is indispensable. Calculation based on Power Curve, general method to estimate wind power output, often causes unavoidable error due to influences of time fluctuation of wind speed and direction. Therefore, we propose to apply Just-In-Time (JIT) Modeling to the estimation and the forecast of wind power output. JIT Modeling has the advantage that the algorithm is relatively simple. Compared with another non-linear modeling method, we confirmed the validation of JIT Modeling against the estimation and forecasts of wind power output through computational simulations.
KW - Just-in-time modeling
KW - Neural network
KW - Short-term wind power forecast
KW - Stepwise regression
KW - Wind power estimation
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84875293717&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84875293717&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:84875293717
SN - 9781622764686
T3 - European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition 2007, EWEC 2007
SP - 898
EP - 903
BT - European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition 2007, EWEC 2007
T2 - European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition 2007, EWEC 2007
Y2 - 7 May 2007 through 10 May 2007
ER -