Confidence Interval Estimation of Apparent Residential Load with PV System Based on Just-In-Time Modeling

Mako Katsuragawa, Shinji Wakao

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

In Japan, a number of residences have introduced PV system after the Feed-in-tariff program started in 2009. After the program is over, households that consume PV power by themselves instead of selling it will increase. With this backdrop, in this paper, we perform the confidence interval estimation of the next-day apparent residential load, i.e., the difference amount between the actual residential load and PV output, with Just-In-Time modeling. Some numerical examples, which demonstrate the validity of the proposed method, are presented.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2019 IEEE 46th Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages1615-1620
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781728104942
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2019 Jun
Event46th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019 - Chicago, United States
Duration: 2019 Jun 162019 Jun 21

Publication series

NameConference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference
ISSN (Print)0160-8371

Conference

Conference46th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019
CountryUnited States
CityChicago
Period19/6/1619/6/21

Keywords

  • Apparent residential load
  • Confidence interval estimation
  • Just-In-Time modeling
  • PV output estimation
  • Residential load estimation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering

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  • Cite this

    Katsuragawa, M., & Wakao, S. (2019). Confidence Interval Estimation of Apparent Residential Load with PV System Based on Just-In-Time Modeling. In 2019 IEEE 46th Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2019 (pp. 1615-1620). [8980670] (Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC40753.2019.8980670