Increased drought events in southwest China revealed by tree ring oxygen isotopes and potential role of Indian Ocean Dipole

Chenxi Xu*, Wenling An, S. Y.Simon Wang, Liang Yi, Junyi Ge, Takeshi Nakatsuka, Masaki Sano, Zhengtang Guo

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

26 Citations (Scopus)


The highlands in southwestern China experience pronounced fluctuations in the hydroclimate with profound impacts on agriculture and economics. To investigate the drought history of this region beyond instrumental records, a tree ring cellulose oxygen isotope (δ 18 O c ) chronology was developed for the period 1733–2013 using samples collected from six Larix trees in the low-latitude highlands (LLH) of southwestern China. The analysis revealed that δ 18 O c is significantly correlated with the rainy season (May–October) precipitation and relative humidity, as well as drought severity. The δ 18 O c chronology accounts for 46% of the observed variance in the rainy season precipitation and it was subsequently used to reconstruct precipitation. The reconstructed precipitation reveals an apparent drying trend since 1840, accompanied by increasingly frequent drought events since 1970. Interdecadal variability is also present, characterized with two distinct wet periods in 1740–1760 and 1800–1900 and two drier periods in 1760–1800 and 1900–2013. On the interannual timescale, the LLH precipitation was modulated collectively by the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean dipole (IOD). There appears to be an enhanced precipitation-IOD relationship since 1970 in response to the increase in positive-IOD events, implying an increasing likelihood of drought for the southwest China LLH.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)645-653
Number of pages9
JournalScience of the Total Environment
Publication statusPublished - 2019 Apr 15


  • Indian Ocean Dipole
  • Precipitation
  • Southwest China
  • Tree ring oxygen isotope

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Engineering
  • Environmental Chemistry
  • Waste Management and Disposal
  • Pollution


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