Proposal of design support method of sustainability scenarios in backcasting manner

Yuji Mizuno, Yusuke Kishita, Haruna Wada, Kazuhiro Kobayashi, Shinichi Fukushige, Yasushi Umeda

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Describing sustainability scenarios is a hopeful approach for envisioning sustainable future visions of industries. However, describing sustainability scenarios is a difficult task and there is no computational support method. This article proposes a design support method of sustainability scenarios in a backcasting manner, which means thinking backward from targeted futures. For the design support method, we propose the following two methods;(i) a method for supporting backward thinking and constructing future visions using a logic tree and (ii) a method for drawing transition paths based on the logic tree. As a case study, we designed "Sustainable manufacturing scenario,"which envisions sustainable future visions of manufacturing industries. Through the case study, we identified the effectiveness of the proposed method. The proposed method supports designing the scenario in clarifying the future visions, drawing the transition paths, and describing them in scenario structurally.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationASME 2012 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2012
Pages767-776
Number of pages10
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2012
Externally publishedYes
EventASME 2012 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2012 - Chicago, IL, United States
Duration: 2012 Aug 122012 Aug 12

Publication series

NameProceedings of the ASME Design Engineering Technical Conference
Volume5

Conference

ConferenceASME 2012 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2012
CountryUnited States
CityChicago, IL
Period12/8/1212/8/12

Keywords

  • Backcasting
  • Logic tree
  • Scenario design
  • Sustainability scenarios

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Modelling and Simulation
  • Mechanical Engineering
  • Computer Science Applications
  • Computer Graphics and Computer-Aided Design

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  • Cite this

    Mizuno, Y., Kishita, Y., Wada, H., Kobayashi, K., Fukushige, S., & Umeda, Y. (2012). Proposal of design support method of sustainability scenarios in backcasting manner. In ASME 2012 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences and Computers and Information in Engineering Conference, IDETC/CIE 2012 (pp. 767-776). (Proceedings of the ASME Design Engineering Technical Conference; Vol. 5). https://doi.org/10.1115/DETC2012-70850