Scenario analysis of the diffusion of fuel cells in the residential sector

Yusuke Kishita*, Yasuaki Nakamura, Akeshi Kegasa, Yoshinori Hisazumi, Tsukasa Hori, Shinichi Fukushige, Yasushi Umeda

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)


A fuel cell is a promising element for saving energy by utilizing waste heat for hot water supply. When assessing the influences of fuel cells in a real world, however, the question is how many fuel cells will be diffused in a region because there are many unpredictable factors, such as national energy policies and consumers' lifestyles. This paper takes a scenario approach to analyzing the environmental impact caused by the diffusion of fuel cells under different social situations. A case study describes three scenarios for estimating the diffusion of solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC) for apartment buildings in 2030, in which conjoint analysis is undertaken for quantifying consumers' preferences.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)294-299
Number of pages6
JournalProcedia CIRP
Publication statusPublished - 2014
Externally publishedYes


  • Conjoint analysis
  • Fuel cell
  • Product diffusion
  • Residential energy system
  • Scenario analysis

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering


Dive into the research topics of 'Scenario analysis of the diffusion of fuel cells in the residential sector'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this