Scenario selection by genetic algorithm for evaluating power resource planning

Yasuhiro Hayashi, Koichi Nara

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Power resource planning which decides the construction time of generators is affected by several uncertain factors: load demand, fuel cost, and others. To evaluate power resource planning involving several uncertainties, planners have to prepare many scenarios and analyze whether the particular resource plan is feasible for every scenario. Of course, it takes a long time to analyze even one scenario. Therefore, in order to realize an efficient scenario analysis, effective scenarios must be selected, and the plan must be evaluated for these scenarios. In this paper, the authors propose a new algorithm for evaluating power resource planning with a genetic algorithm. Specifically, (1) a new preferable scenario selection algorithm, and (2) a new multi-objective scenario analyse algorithm are developed. Several numerical results for a new scenario selection algorithm are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)142-146
Number of pages5
JournalInternational Journal of Power and Energy Systems
Volume18
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 1998 Dec 1

Keywords

  • Genetic algorithm
  • Power resource planning
  • Scenario selection

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Energy Engineering and Power Technology
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering
  • Applied Mathematics

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