Total PV Power Prediction over a Wide Area Using Forecasted Values of Solar Radiation at Multiple Observation Points

Ritsuya Watanabe, Shinji Wakao, Kei Morita

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

Abstract

Electric retailers need to predict spot market prices in the Japan Electric Power Exchange for efficient daily power procurement. And it is necessary to predict demand and PV output when predicting the price. Therefore, this paper deals with the simple and accurate estimation methods of total PV power over a wide area. We propose two kinds of simple methods to calculate the total PV output in the Kanto and Tohoku areas in Japan based on the predicted values of solar radiation at multiple observation points that are easy to obtain from the Japan Meteorological Agency.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2020 47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages314-319
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781728161150
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020 Jun 14
Event47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020 - Calgary, Canada
Duration: 2020 Jun 152020 Aug 21

Publication series

NameConference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference
Volume2020-June
ISSN (Print)0160-8371

Conference

Conference47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020
Country/TerritoryCanada
CityCalgary
Period20/6/1520/8/21

Keywords

  • JIT Modeling
  • MSM-GPV data
  • Physical model
  • PV output prediction
  • Regression model
  • Solar radiation prediction

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Control and Systems Engineering
  • Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering

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