Total PV Power Prediction over a Wide Area Using Forecasted Values of Solar Radiation at Multiple Observation Points

Ritsuya Watanabe; Shinji Wakao; Kei Morita

doi:10.1109/PVSC45281.2020.9300856

Total PV Power Prediction over a Wide Area Using Forecasted Values of Solar Radiation at Multiple Observation Points

Ritsuya Watanabe, Shinji Wakao, Kei Morita

School of Advanced Science and Engineering

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Abstract

Electric retailers need to predict spot market prices in the Japan Electric Power Exchange for efficient daily power procurement. And it is necessary to predict demand and PV output when predicting the price. Therefore, this paper deals with the simple and accurate estimation methods of total PV power over a wide area. We propose two kinds of simple methods to calculate the total PV output in the Kanto and Tohoku areas in Japan based on the predicted values of solar radiation at multiple observation points that are easy to obtain from the Japan Meteorological Agency.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	2020 47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages	314-319
Number of pages	6
ISBN (Electronic)	9781728161150
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC45281.2020.9300856
Publication status	Published - 2020 Jun 14
Event	47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020 - Calgary, Canada Duration: 2020 Jun 15 → 2020 Aug 21

Publication series

Name	Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference
Volume	2020-June
ISSN (Print)	0160-8371

Conference

Conference	47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020
Country/Territory	Canada
City	Calgary
Period	20/6/15 → 20/8/21

Keywords

JIT Modeling
MSM-GPV data
Physical model
PV output prediction
Regression model
Solar radiation prediction

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Control and Systems Engineering
Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
Electrical and Electronic Engineering

Access to Document

10.1109/PVSC45281.2020.9300856

Cite this

Watanabe, R., Wakao, S., & Morita, K. (2020). Total PV Power Prediction over a Wide Area Using Forecasted Values of Solar Radiation at Multiple Observation Points. In 2020 47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020 (pp. 314-319). [9300856] (Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference; Vol. 2020-June). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC45281.2020.9300856

Total PV Power Prediction over a Wide Area Using Forecasted Values of Solar Radiation at Multiple Observation Points. / Watanabe, Ritsuya; Wakao, Shinji; Morita, Kei.

2020 47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2020. p. 314-319 9300856 (Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference; Vol. 2020-June).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Watanabe, R, Wakao, S & Morita, K 2020, Total PV Power Prediction over a Wide Area Using Forecasted Values of Solar Radiation at Multiple Observation Points. in 2020 47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020., 9300856, Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, vol. 2020-June, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., pp. 314-319, 47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020, Calgary, Canada, 20/6/15. https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC45281.2020.9300856

Watanabe R, Wakao S, Morita K. Total PV Power Prediction over a Wide Area Using Forecasted Values of Solar Radiation at Multiple Observation Points. In 2020 47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2020. p. 314-319. 9300856. (Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference). https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC45281.2020.9300856

Watanabe, Ritsuya ; Wakao, Shinji ; Morita, Kei. / Total PV Power Prediction over a Wide Area Using Forecasted Values of Solar Radiation at Multiple Observation Points. 2020 47th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference, PVSC 2020. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2020. pp. 314-319 (Conference Record of the IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference).

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abstract = "Electric retailers need to predict spot market prices in the Japan Electric Power Exchange for efficient daily power procurement. And it is necessary to predict demand and PV output when predicting the price. Therefore, this paper deals with the simple and accurate estimation methods of total PV power over a wide area. We propose two kinds of simple methods to calculate the total PV output in the Kanto and Tohoku areas in Japan based on the predicted values of solar radiation at multiple observation points that are easy to obtain from the Japan Meteorological Agency.",

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Total PV Power Prediction over a Wide Area Using Forecasted Values of Solar Radiation at Multiple Observation Points

Abstract

Publication series

Conference

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Access to Document

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