A flexible long-term load forecasting approach based on new dynamic simulation theory - GSIM

N. X. Jia, R. Yokoyama, Y. C. Zhou, Z. Y. Gao

    研究成果: Article査読

    38 被引用数 (Scopus)

    抄録

    Load forecasting is a difficult task because of the complex relations existing in the load and the load-affecting factors. This paper presents a flexible long-term load forecasting method based on a new dynamic theory - General Simulation (GSIM) theory that can treat two kinds of logical and intuitive information simultaneously and integrally. We divide the relations of factors affecting load demand into functional relations and impact relations. Owing to describing the functional relations by functional formula and impact relations by impact matrix, we can consider both of the relations as a whole simultaneously in our load model. The successful load forecasting results prove the possibility of improving the forecasting accuracy of conventional approaches.

    本文言語English
    ページ(範囲)549-556
    ページ数8
    ジャーナルInternational Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems
    23
    7
    DOI
    出版ステータスPublished - 2001 10

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • エネルギー工学および電力技術
    • 電子工学および電気工学

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