A holistic approach to computer-aided scenario design targeting sustainable manufacturing

Yusuke Kishita, Yuji Mizuno, Maki Hirosaki, Haruna Wada, Shinichi Fukushige, Yasushi Umeda

研究成果: Conference contribution

抄録

Numerous scenarios have been developed in order to create visions of a sustainable society, such as the IPCC's Scenarios. However, sufficient computational assistance has not been provided for designing scenarios. One critical problem is that it is difficult to understand scenarios rationally since scenarios are written in a text form and their logical structure is unclear. For supporting computer-aided scenario design, this paper presents the concept of Sustainable Society Scenario (3S) Simulator. The key approach is to structure scenarios for computerizing them by representing a scenario structure as a directed graph. Based on this approach, this paper proposes a method for dynamically connecting scenarios with associated simulators for their reuse. A case study illustrates that our method clarifies the logical structure of a scenario, e.g., clarifying rationales for deriving conclusions. Also, the method succeeds in exploring alternative futures by changing assumptions in the scenario.

本文言語English
ホスト出版物のタイトルProceedings of APMS 2010 - International Conference on Advances in Production Management Systems
出版ステータスPublished - 2010
外部発表はい
イベントInternational Conference on Advances in Production Management Systems, APMS 2010 - Cernobbio, Como, Italy
継続期間: 2010 10 112010 10 13

出版物シリーズ

名前Proceedings of APMS 2010 - International Conference on Advances in Production Management Systems

Conference

ConferenceInternational Conference on Advances in Production Management Systems, APMS 2010
国/地域Italy
CityCernobbio, Como
Period10/10/1110/10/13

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 戦略と経営

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