Adaptation to sea level rise on low coral islands: Lessons from recent events

Miguel Esteban, Ma Laurice Jamero, Leonard Nurse, Lilian Yamamoto, Hiroshi Takagi, Nguyen Danh Thao, Takahito Mikami, Paul Kench, Motoharu Onuki, Angelie Nellas, Richard Crichton, Ven Paolo Valenzuela, Christopher Chadwick, John Erick Avelino, Nicholson Tan, Tomoya Shibayama

研究成果: Article

抄録

In the past two decades there have been fears that many low-lying atoll islands around the world could disappear as a consequence of climate change and sea level rise, leading to mass migration and threatening the existence of several island nations. Here we show how sea level rise does not inevitably lead to coastal areas becoming uninhabitable, and that humans have an innate and often underestimated capacity to adapt to changes in their environment. To do so we showcase three instances of human- and earthquake-induced land subsidence that have taken place in the 21st century, where the coastal/island areas are still inhabited despite the challenge of living with higher water levels: the Tohoku coastline following the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake Tsunami (subsidence ∼0.4–1.0 m), the present day situation of coastal areas in Jakarta due to ground water extraction (>5.0 m), and the islands of Tubigon, Bohol in central Philippines after the 2013 Bohol Earthquake (∼1.0 m). Humans are able to adapt and arrive at solutions even when confronted with cases of rapid rises in water levels, and thus it is likely that in the future vulnerable coastlines will be engineered and largely remain at present day locations, particularly in densely populated areas. If anything, around densely populated areas it is more likely that humans will continue to encroach on the sea rather than the reverse. We caution, however, that small islands are not homogeneous, and many are unlikely to respond to rising sea levels in the manner that atolls do (in fact, many might just resort to build at higher elevations). Where engineering and other adaptation responses become necessary, the financial and human resource requirements may well be beyond capacity of some small islands, which could lead to impoverishment and associated challenges in many communities.

元の言語English
ページ(範囲)35-40
ページ数6
ジャーナルOcean and Coastal Management
168
DOI
出版物ステータスPublished - 2019 2 1

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sea level
corals
coral
earthquakes
subsidence
water table
water level
groundwater extraction
Tohoku earthquake 2011
atolls
coasts
tsunamis
earthquake
coast
atoll
twenty first century
human resource
fearfulness
tsunami
Philippines

Keywords

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • Oceanography
    • Aquatic Science
    • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

    これを引用

    Adaptation to sea level rise on low coral islands : Lessons from recent events. / Esteban, Miguel; Jamero, Ma Laurice; Nurse, Leonard; Yamamoto, Lilian; Takagi, Hiroshi; Thao, Nguyen Danh; Mikami, Takahito; Kench, Paul; Onuki, Motoharu; Nellas, Angelie; Crichton, Richard; Valenzuela, Ven Paolo; Chadwick, Christopher; Avelino, John Erick; Tan, Nicholson; Shibayama, Tomoya.

    :: Ocean and Coastal Management, 巻 168, 01.02.2019, p. 35-40.

    研究成果: Article

    Esteban, M, Jamero, ML, Nurse, L, Yamamoto, L, Takagi, H, Thao, ND, Mikami, T, Kench, P, Onuki, M, Nellas, A, Crichton, R, Valenzuela, VP, Chadwick, C, Avelino, JE, Tan, N & Shibayama, T 2019, 'Adaptation to sea level rise on low coral islands: Lessons from recent events' Ocean and Coastal Management, 巻. 168, pp. 35-40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2018.10.031
    Esteban, Miguel ; Jamero, Ma Laurice ; Nurse, Leonard ; Yamamoto, Lilian ; Takagi, Hiroshi ; Thao, Nguyen Danh ; Mikami, Takahito ; Kench, Paul ; Onuki, Motoharu ; Nellas, Angelie ; Crichton, Richard ; Valenzuela, Ven Paolo ; Chadwick, Christopher ; Avelino, John Erick ; Tan, Nicholson ; Shibayama, Tomoya. / Adaptation to sea level rise on low coral islands : Lessons from recent events. :: Ocean and Coastal Management. 2019 ; 巻 168. pp. 35-40.
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    AU - Takagi, Hiroshi

    AU - Thao, Nguyen Danh

    AU - Mikami, Takahito

    AU - Kench, Paul

    AU - Onuki, Motoharu

    AU - Nellas, Angelie

    AU - Crichton, Richard

    AU - Valenzuela, Ven Paolo

    AU - Chadwick, Christopher

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