Electric Vehicle Penetration Model Considering Policy Subsidy and Fuel Price Uncertainty

D. Yamashita; Yasuhiro Daisho; D. Satoya; H. Takamori; R. Yokoyama

doi:10.1109/ICAIET.2014.44

Electric Vehicle Penetration Model Considering Policy Subsidy and Fuel Price Uncertainty

D. Yamashita, Yasuhiro Daisho, D. Satoya, H. Takamori, R. Yokoyama

次世代自動車研究機構

研究成果: Conference contribution

抄録

In this paper, the authors present the estimation of plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market growth including the uncertainty of gasoline price fluctuation. The authors earlier have developed a model to estimate the market penetration of electric vehicles considering such factors as vehicle prices and availability of quick charging facilities. The optimization of public policy initiatives to support the market growth, such as the purchase subsidies and charging infrastructure investment, have then been applied based on a deterministic optimal control theory. To make the estimation more realistic, we now include the effects of gasoline price fluctuation, based on the observation of past retail gasoline prices. In the present paper, possible ranges of gasoline price fluctuation in the next ten years are estimated, and the influence on the market growth of electric vehicles is quantitatively analyzed.

本文言語	English
ホスト出版物のタイトル	Proceedings - 2014 4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014
出版社	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ページ	221-226
ページ数	6
ISBN（電子版）	9781479979103
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1109/ICAIET.2014.44
出版ステータス	Published - 2015 12月 9
イベント	4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014 - Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia 継続期間: 2014 12月 2 → 2014 12月 5

Other

Other	4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014
国/地域	Malaysia
City	Kota Kinabalu, Sabah
Period	14/12/2 → 14/12/5

ASJC Scopus subject areas

コンピュータサイエンスの応用
工学（その他）
人工知能

UN SDG

この成果は、次の持続可能な開発目標に貢献しています

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10.1109/ICAIET.2014.44

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引用スタイル

Yamashita, D., Daisho, Y., Satoya, D., Takamori, H., & Yokoyama, R. (2015). Electric Vehicle Penetration Model Considering Policy Subsidy and Fuel Price Uncertainty. In Proceedings - 2014 4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014 (pp. 221-226). [7351838] Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICAIET.2014.44

Electric Vehicle Penetration Model Considering Policy Subsidy and Fuel Price Uncertainty. / Yamashita, D.; Daisho, Yasuhiro; Satoya, D. その他.

Proceedings - 2014 4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2015. p. 221-226 7351838.

研究成果: Conference contribution

Yamashita, D, Daisho, Y, Satoya, D, Takamori, H & Yokoyama, R 2015, Electric Vehicle Penetration Model Considering Policy Subsidy and Fuel Price Uncertainty. in Proceedings - 2014 4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014., 7351838, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., pp. 221-226, 4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia, 14/12/2. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICAIET.2014.44

Yamashita D, Daisho Y, Satoya D, Takamori H, Yokoyama R. Electric Vehicle Penetration Model Considering Policy Subsidy and Fuel Price Uncertainty. In Proceedings - 2014 4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2015. p. 221-226. 7351838 doi: 10.1109/ICAIET.2014.44

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abstract = "In this paper, the authors present the estimation of plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market growth including the uncertainty of gasoline price fluctuation. The authors earlier have developed a model to estimate the market penetration of electric vehicles considering such factors as vehicle prices and availability of quick charging facilities. The optimization of public policy initiatives to support the market growth, such as the purchase subsidies and charging infrastructure investment, have then been applied based on a deterministic optimal control theory. To make the estimation more realistic, we now include the effects of gasoline price fluctuation, based on the observation of past retail gasoline prices. In the present paper, possible ranges of gasoline price fluctuation in the next ten years are estimated, and the influence on the market growth of electric vehicles is quantitatively analyzed.",

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Electric Vehicle Penetration Model Considering Policy Subsidy and Fuel Price Uncertainty

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Other

ASJC Scopus subject areas

UN SDG

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