抄録
In this paper, the authors present the estimation of plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market growth including the uncertainty of gasoline price fluctuation. The authors earlier have developed a model to estimate the market penetration of electric vehicles considering such factors as vehicle prices and availability of quick charging facilities. The optimization of public policy initiatives to support the market growth, such as the purchase subsidies and charging infrastructure investment, have then been applied based on a deterministic optimal control theory. To make the estimation more realistic, we now include the effects of gasoline price fluctuation, based on the observation of past retail gasoline prices. In the present paper, possible ranges of gasoline price fluctuation in the next ten years are estimated, and the influence on the market growth of electric vehicles is quantitatively analyzed.
本文言語 | English |
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ホスト出版物のタイトル | Proceedings - 2014 4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014 |
出版社 | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. |
ページ | 221-226 |
ページ数 | 6 |
ISBN(電子版) | 9781479979103 |
DOI | |
出版ステータス | Published - 2015 12月 9 |
イベント | 4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014 - Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia 継続期間: 2014 12月 2 → 2014 12月 5 |
Other
Other | 4th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence with Applications in Engineering and Technology, ICAIET 2014 |
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国/地域 | Malaysia |
City | Kota Kinabalu, Sabah |
Period | 14/12/2 → 14/12/5 |
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- コンピュータ サイエンスの応用
- 工学(その他)
- 人工知能