Estimating the indirect costs of non adapting infrastructure to an increase in typhoon intensity in the asia-pacific region

The present paper develops a methodology for estimating the risks and consequences of possible future increases in tropical cyclone intensities that can allow for the cost of mitigation strategies in port infrastructure to be evaluated It uses a Monte Carlo Simulation to obtain the expected number of hours that a certain area can expect to be affected by winds of a certain strength, and then evaluates the relationship between port infrastructure and Japanese economic growth. Finally, the expected increase in expenditure due to climate change can be evaluated