Forecast method of solar irradiance with just-in-time modeling

Takanobu Suzuki*, Yusuke Goto, Takahiro Terazono, Shinji Wakao, Takashi Oozeki

*この研究の対応する著者

研究成果: Article査読

24 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

PV power output mainly depends on the solar irradiance which is affected by various meteorological factors. So, it is required to predict solar irradiance in the future for the efficient operation of PV systems. In this paper, we develop a novel approach for solar irradiance forecast, in which we introduce to combine the black-box model (JIT Modeling) with the physical model (GPV data). We investigate the predictive accuracy of solar irradiance over wide controlledarea of each electric power company by utilizing the measured data on the 44 observation points throughout Japan offered by JMA and the 64 points around Kanto by NEDO. Finally, we propose the application forecast method of solar irradiance to the point which is difficulty in compiling the database. And we consider the influence of different GPV default time on solar irradiance prediction.

本文言語English
ページ(範囲)912-919+5
ジャーナルIEEJ Transactions on Power and Energy
131
11
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2011

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • エネルギー工学および電力技術
  • 電子工学および電気工学

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