Hierarchical probability and risk assessment for K-out-of-N system in hierarchy

Xiong Fei Ye*, Yi Zhang, Ogai Harutoshi, Chul Woo Kim

*この研究の対応する著者

研究成果: Article査読

1 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

In this research, the model of hierarchical structure from universe theory is imported into the general probability system which helps logically and subordinately describing, measuring, and evaluating the hierarchical probabilistic system. To clearly classify the hierarchy, “fayer” is proposed as the unit of hierarchy. Then, discussions on the relationship between hierarchy and system-of-systems and the risks caused by the hierarchy are proposed. This paper divides the problems of hierarchical probability mainly into two classes: the problems of surviving ratio and problems of passing ratio, and also, mixed problems of surviving ratio and passing ratio. Simultaneously, the surviving ratio is called as reliability. System reliability is one marked kind of hierarchical probability for the risk assessment of the hierarchical system. This paper introduces a new reliability system, P-out-of-1 system, which is derived from the K-out-of-N systems in hierarchy. The hierarchical reliability calculation of every fayer of the P-out-of-1 system is different from other fayers. Furthermore, the risk assessment of the hierarchical system for decision making of one maintenance manifests many differences by different descriptions in different fayers, even these descriptions concentrate on the same system.

本文言語English
ページ(範囲)242-260
ページ数19
ジャーナルReliability Engineering and System Safety
189
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2019 9

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 安全性、リスク、信頼性、品質管理
  • 産業および生産工学

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