Improvement of prediction interval estimation algorithm with just-in-time modeling for PV system operation

研究成果: Conference contribution

1 引用 (Scopus)

抄録

Output of the photovoltaic (PV) system drastically fluctuates depending on weather conditions. Therefore users of PV systems should manage their energy usage with forecast information of the PV output. Due to the reasons above, we have developed an estimation method of X% prediction interval of solar irradiance. We have achieved a high-accuracy prediction interval for any prediction coefficient X%. However, we found that there are some errors in a case where the prediction coefficient is high. In this paper, we improve the estimation algorithm of the prediction interval.

元の言語English
ホスト出版物のタイトル2015 IEEE 42nd Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015
出版者Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN(印刷物)9781479979448
DOI
出版物ステータスPublished - 2015 12 14
イベント42nd IEEE Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015 - New Orleans, United States
継続期間: 2015 6 142015 6 19

Other

Other42nd IEEE Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015
United States
New Orleans
期間15/6/1415/6/19

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Electrical and Electronic Engineering
  • Electronic, Optical and Magnetic Materials

これを引用

Yamazaki, T., Wakao, S., Fujimoto, Y., & Hayashi, Y. (2015). Improvement of prediction interval estimation algorithm with just-in-time modeling for PV system operation. : 2015 IEEE 42nd Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015 [7355994] Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC.2015.7355994

Improvement of prediction interval estimation algorithm with just-in-time modeling for PV system operation. / Yamazaki, Tomohide; Wakao, Shinji; Fujimoto, Yu; Hayashi, Yasuhiro.

2015 IEEE 42nd Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2015. 7355994.

研究成果: Conference contribution

Yamazaki, T, Wakao, S, Fujimoto, Y & Hayashi, Y 2015, Improvement of prediction interval estimation algorithm with just-in-time modeling for PV system operation. : 2015 IEEE 42nd Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015., 7355994, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 42nd IEEE Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015, New Orleans, United States, 15/6/14. https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC.2015.7355994
Yamazaki T, Wakao S, Fujimoto Y, Hayashi Y. Improvement of prediction interval estimation algorithm with just-in-time modeling for PV system operation. : 2015 IEEE 42nd Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2015. 7355994 https://doi.org/10.1109/PVSC.2015.7355994
Yamazaki, Tomohide ; Wakao, Shinji ; Fujimoto, Yu ; Hayashi, Yasuhiro. / Improvement of prediction interval estimation algorithm with just-in-time modeling for PV system operation. 2015 IEEE 42nd Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2015.
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