Improvement of prediction interval estimation algorithm with just-in-time modeling for PV system operation

研究成果: Conference contribution

3 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

Output of the photovoltaic (PV) system drastically fluctuates depending on weather conditions. Therefore users of PV systems should manage their energy usage with forecast information of the PV output. Due to the reasons above, we have developed an estimation method of X% prediction interval of solar irradiance. We have achieved a high-accuracy prediction interval for any prediction coefficient X%. However, we found that there are some errors in a case where the prediction coefficient is high. In this paper, we improve the estimation algorithm of the prediction interval.

本文言語English
ホスト出版物のタイトル2015 IEEE 42nd Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015
出版社Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN(印刷版)9781479979448
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2015 12 14
イベント42nd IEEE Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015 - New Orleans, United States
継続期間: 2015 6 142015 6 19

Other

Other42nd IEEE Photovoltaic Specialist Conference, PVSC 2015
国/地域United States
CityNew Orleans
Period15/6/1415/6/19

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 電子工学および電気工学
  • 電子材料、光学材料、および磁性材料

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