Interval prediction of annual maximum demand using grey dynamic model

H. Morita*, T. Kase, Y. Tamura, S. Iwamoto

*この研究の対応する著者

    研究成果査読

    76 被引用数 (Scopus)

    抄録

    This paper proposes an interval prediction of the upper and lower bound values of load demand using the grey dynamic model in grey system theory. Supply and demand in power system planning and operation are required to be balanced. A marginal supply capability against accidental demands or faults is also required. The confidence interval can become an index for determining the marginal supply capability. The interval prediction using the grey dynamic model is illustrated using an example. The results are compared with the actual demands and with those obtained from a linear single regression model.

    本文言語English
    ページ(範囲)409-412
    ページ数4
    ジャーナルInternational Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems
    18
    7
    DOI
    出版ステータスPublished - 1996 10

    ASJC Scopus subject areas

    • エネルギー工学および電力技術
    • 電子工学および電気工学

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