Mangrove forest against dyke-break-induced tsunami on rapidly subsiding coasts

Hiroshi Takagi, Takahito Mikami, Daisuke Fujii, Miguel Esteban, Shota Kurobe

研究成果: Article

13 引用 (Scopus)

抜粋

Thin coastal dykes typically found in developing countries may suddenly collapse due to rapid land subsidence, material ageing, sea-level rise, high wave attack, earthquakes, landslides, or a collision with vessels. Such a failure could trigger dam-break tsunami-type flooding, or "dyke-break-induced tsunami", a possibility which has so far been overlooked in the field of coastal disaster science and management. To analyse the potential consequences of one such flooding event caused by a dyke failure, a hydrodynamic model was constructed based on the authors' field surveys of a vulnerable coastal location in Jakarta, Indonesia. In a 2 m land subsidence scenario-which is expected to take place in the study area after only about 10-20 years-the model results show that the floodwaters rapidly rise to a height of nearly 3 ;m, resembling the flooding pattern of earthquake-induced tsunamis. The depth-velocity product criterion suggests that many of the narrow pedestrian paths behind the dyke could experience strong flows, which are far greater than the safe limits that would allow pedestrian evacuation. A couple of alternative scenarios were also considered to investigate how such flood impacts could be mitigated by creating a mangrove belt in front of the dyke as an additional safety measure. The dyke-break-induced tsunamis, which in many areas are far more likely than regular earthquake tsunamis, cannot be overlooked and thus should be considered in disaster management and urban planning along the coasts of many developing countries.

元の言語English
ページ(範囲)1629-1638
ページ数10
ジャーナルNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
16
発行部数7
DOI
出版物ステータスPublished - 2016 7 20
外部発表Yes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)

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