Method for determining voltage control parameters of low-voltage regulator using forecast interval of photovoltaic output

A low-voltage regulator (LVR) is investigated as a countermeasure for voltage violation caused by the integration of photovoltaic (PV) systems in distribution systems. To achieve appropriate voltage control by the LVR, the appropriate control parameters need to be determined. We have proposed schemes to determine the appropriate control parameters using PV forecast profiles. In a previous work, the control parameters were determined on the basis of one-scenario PV forecast, which derives one forecast value in each time step. However, voltage violation could not be avoided by this method in a time step with a large forecast error. In this paper, we propose a method for determining the voltage control parameters of the LVR based on the forecast interval of the PV outputs to quantitatively consider the PV forecast error. The numerical simulation results show that the proposed method can reduce the amount of voltage deviation compared with the conventional method.