Modeling cyclone-related precipitation changes in future climates using WRF model and CMIP5 output data

Martin Mäll, Ülo Suursaar, Tomoya Shibayama, Ryota Nakamura

研究成果: Paper査読

抄録

Heavy precipitation from extratropical cyclones (ETCs) can have serious environmental and societal impacts. The aim of the study is to model changes in ETC-related precipitation in the Baltic Sea area by the end of 21st century. Using the Weather Research and Forecasting model (ARW-WRF), Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) ensemble output, the IPCC proposed RCP8.5 future scenario, and two hindcasted ETCs (Jan 2005, Nov 2008), we study these storms in projected future (i.e. "surrogate") conditions. The results showed up to 20-30% increase in precipitation; the spatial shifts and variability within the modeling domains were still substantial.

本文言語English
ページ7590-7593
ページ数4
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2019
イベント39th IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS 2019 - Yokohama, Japan
継続期間: 2019 7 282019 8 2

Conference

Conference39th IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS 2019
国/地域Japan
CityYokohama
Period19/7/2819/8/2

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • コンピュータ サイエンスの応用
  • 地球惑星科学(全般)

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