Modeling parameters and impacts of future cyclones: South-east asian and northern european case studies

Martin Mäll, Ülo Suursaar, Ryota Nakamura, Khandker Masuma Tasnim, Tomoya Shibayama

研究成果: Paper査読

抄録

The purpose of the paper is to analyse and compare the possible future parameters of four extreme cyclonic storms (Nargis in 2008, Haiyan in 2013, Gudrun in 2005, St. Jude 2013) as they would occur in the end of 21st century under warming climatic conditions. Using a modeling system composed of the Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW-WRF) atmospheric model, Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM), and surrogate background conditions taken from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) output in line with the IPCC proposed RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 future scenarios. The results generally showed an intensification of tropical cyclones (TCs) and corresponding increase in storm surge heights. In case of extratropical cyclones (ETCs), the future changes were either smaller or less clear.

本文言語English
ページ9346-9349
ページ数4
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2019
イベント39th IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS 2019 - Yokohama, Japan
継続期間: 2019 7 282019 8 2

Conference

Conference39th IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS 2019
国/地域Japan
CityYokohama
Period19/7/2819/8/2

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • コンピュータ サイエンスの応用
  • 地球惑星科学(全般)

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