The purpose of the paper is to analyse and compare the possible future parameters of four extreme cyclonic storms (Nargis in 2008, Haiyan in 2013, Gudrun in 2005, St. Jude 2013) as they would occur in the end of 21st century under warming climatic conditions. Using a modeling system composed of the Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW-WRF) atmospheric model, Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM), and surrogate background conditions taken from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) output in line with the IPCC proposed RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 future scenarios. The results generally showed an intensification of tropical cyclones (TCs) and corresponding increase in storm surge heights. In case of extratropical cyclones (ETCs), the future changes were either smaller or less clear.
|出版ステータス||Published - 2019|
|イベント||39th IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS 2019 - Yokohama, Japan|
継続期間: 2019 7月 28 → 2019 8月 2
|Conference||39th IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium, IGARSS 2019|
|Period||19/7/28 → 19/8/2|
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- コンピュータ サイエンスの応用