Predicting infection in hospitalized patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

Takamichi Yuhara*, Hiroyuki Takemura, Takao Akama, Hiroshi Suzuki, Kazuhide Yamane, Heihachiro Kashiwagi

*この研究の対応する著者

研究成果: Article査読

31 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

To identify the risk factors for infection and to develop a model for the prediction of infection in hospitalized patients with active systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), we carried out a retrospective cohort study with clinical data collected from 121 consecutive patients with active SLE. Seventeen patients had infection within 6 months of beginning steroid therapy for active SLE. Independent multivariate predictors of infection were a decrease in the serum albumin value, an increase in the serum creatinine value, and prednisolone use in a dose of ≤60 mg/day without methylprednisolone pulse therapy. The error rate of the model by 10-fold cross-validation method was 12%, sensitivity was 65%, specificity was 91%, and positive predictive value was 55%. Four nonsurvivors were correctly discriminated. Use of this model could contribute to earlier diagnosis of infection and may assist decisions regarding empiric antimicrobial administration in patients with SLE.

本文言語English
ページ(範囲)629-636
ページ数8
ジャーナルInternal Medicine
35
8
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 1996 8月
外部発表はい

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 内科学

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