TY - GEN

T1 - Reliability estimation of deteriorated RC-structures considering various observation data

AU - Yoshida, Ikumasa

AU - Akiyama, Mitsuyoshi

PY - 2011/12/1

Y1 - 2011/12/1

N2 - A reliability estimation method is proposed to estimate the limit state exceeding probability of existing structures considering observation data by Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS). Accuracy estimation is one of the important issues when MC approach is adopted. Specifically SMCS approach has a problem known as degeneracy. Effective sample size is introduced to estimate the accuracy of estimated limit state exceeding probabilities. Coefficient of variance of estimated probability is predicted based on the effective sample size ratio of the updated model. The proposed method is demonstrated through a numerical example of reliability analysis on deteriorating RC structures.

AB - A reliability estimation method is proposed to estimate the limit state exceeding probability of existing structures considering observation data by Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS). Accuracy estimation is one of the important issues when MC approach is adopted. Specifically SMCS approach has a problem known as degeneracy. Effective sample size is introduced to estimate the accuracy of estimated limit state exceeding probabilities. Coefficient of variance of estimated probability is predicted based on the effective sample size ratio of the updated model. The proposed method is demonstrated through a numerical example of reliability analysis on deteriorating RC structures.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84856755469&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84856755469&partnerID=8YFLogxK

M3 - Conference contribution

AN - SCOPUS:84856755469

SN - 9780415669863

T3 - Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering -Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering

SP - 1231

EP - 1239

BT - Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering -Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering

T2 - 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, ICASP

Y2 - 1 August 2011 through 4 August 2011

ER -