抄録
Economic, political, environmental and agricultural variables were incorporated into a model in order to predict food supply and demand in the 21st century. Market forces do not apply to agricultural products in domestic market and price is determined politically. Invisible hand are used in order to increase prices of agricultural products. Population, area of arable land and income in the agricultural sector are key factors which determine cereal prices. Scenario analysis using a numerical model was carried out to predict cereal prices in the People's Republic of China (PRC) in the 21st century. The analysis shows that cereal prices will increase in the PRC rapidly if the country continues it's high rate of economic growth. The Chinese government have announced that they will continue the policy of self-sufficiency for food, but importing cheap cereal from international markets would be attractive an option for providing low price food to the people living in cities.
| 元の言語 | English |
|---|---|
| ホスト出版物のタイトル | Advances in Ecological Sciences |
| 編集者 | J.L. Uso, C.A. Brebbia, H. Power |
| 出版者 | Computational Mechanics Publ |
| ページ | 13-24 |
| ページ数 | 12 |
| 巻 | 1 |
| 出版物ステータス | Published - 1998 |
| 外部発表 | Yes |
| イベント | Proceedings of the 1997 1st International Conference on Ecosystems and Sustainable Development - Castle of Peniscola, Spain 継続期間: 1997 10 14 → 1997 10 16 |
Other
| Other | Proceedings of the 1997 1st International Conference on Ecosystems and Sustainable Development |
|---|---|
| 市 | Castle of Peniscola, Spain |
| 期間 | 97/10/14 → 97/10/16 |
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ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Engineering(all)
これを引用
System analysis of the food supply and demand in China in the 21st century. / Kawashima, H.; Okamoto, K.; Yokosawa, Masayuki; Halablab, M. A.; Bazin, M. J.
Advances in Ecological Sciences. 版 / J.L. Uso; C.A. Brebbia; H. Power. 巻 1 Computational Mechanics Publ, 1998. p. 13-24.研究成果: Conference contribution
}
TY - GEN
T1 - System analysis of the food supply and demand in China in the 21st century
AU - Kawashima, H.
AU - Okamoto, K.
AU - Yokosawa, Masayuki
AU - Halablab, M. A.
AU - Bazin, M. J.
PY - 1998
Y1 - 1998
N2 - Economic, political, environmental and agricultural variables were incorporated into a model in order to predict food supply and demand in the 21st century. Market forces do not apply to agricultural products in domestic market and price is determined politically. Invisible hand are used in order to increase prices of agricultural products. Population, area of arable land and income in the agricultural sector are key factors which determine cereal prices. Scenario analysis using a numerical model was carried out to predict cereal prices in the People's Republic of China (PRC) in the 21st century. The analysis shows that cereal prices will increase in the PRC rapidly if the country continues it's high rate of economic growth. The Chinese government have announced that they will continue the policy of self-sufficiency for food, but importing cheap cereal from international markets would be attractive an option for providing low price food to the people living in cities.
AB - Economic, political, environmental and agricultural variables were incorporated into a model in order to predict food supply and demand in the 21st century. Market forces do not apply to agricultural products in domestic market and price is determined politically. Invisible hand are used in order to increase prices of agricultural products. Population, area of arable land and income in the agricultural sector are key factors which determine cereal prices. Scenario analysis using a numerical model was carried out to predict cereal prices in the People's Republic of China (PRC) in the 21st century. The analysis shows that cereal prices will increase in the PRC rapidly if the country continues it's high rate of economic growth. The Chinese government have announced that they will continue the policy of self-sufficiency for food, but importing cheap cereal from international markets would be attractive an option for providing low price food to the people living in cities.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0031701609&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=0031701609&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:0031701609
VL - 1
SP - 13
EP - 24
BT - Advances in Ecological Sciences
A2 - Uso, J.L.
A2 - Brebbia, C.A.
A2 - Power, H.
PB - Computational Mechanics Publ
ER -