Tests for bounded rationality with a linear dynamic model distorted by heterogeneous expectations

Saang Joon Baak*

*この研究の対応する著者

研究成果: Article査読

48 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

The purpose of this paper is to develop a methodology which will use economic data to detect the existence of boundedly rational economic agents. The bounded rationality model presented in this paper generalizes a linear dynamic rational expectations model by nesting two types of expectations. In this paper, it is claimed that the bounded rationality model as presented can be transformed into an optimal regulator problem with distortions. As a result, the methodologies developed by the optimal control theory can be used to solve the model. The likelihood function for the model is constructed by the Kalman filtering using the solution of the model. Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) is performed to test for bounded rationality in the U.S. cattle market for the period from 1900 to 1990. The empirical results indicate that some fraction of economic agents in the market are boundedly rational.

本文言語English
ページ(範囲)1517-1543
ページ数27
ジャーナルJournal of Economic Dynamics and Control
23
9-10
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 1999 9月
外部発表はい

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 経済学、計量経済学
  • 制御と最適化
  • 応用数学

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