Win-stay lose-shift strategy in formation changes in football

Kohei Tamura, Naoki Masuda*

*この研究の対応する著者

研究成果: Article査読

11 被引用数 (Scopus)

抄録

Managerial decision making is likely to be a dominant determinant of performance of teams in team sports. Here we use Japanese and German football data to investigate correlates between temporal patterns of formation changes across matches and match results. We found that individual teams and managers both showed win-stay lose-shift behavior, a type of reinforcement learning. In other words, they tended to stick to the current formation after a win and switch to a different formation after a loss. In addition, formation changes did not statistically improve the results of succeeding matches. The results indicate that a swift implementation of a new formation in the win-stay lose-shift manner may not be a successful managerial rule of thumb.

本文言語English
論文番号9
ページ(範囲)1-19
ページ数19
ジャーナルEPJ Data Science
4
1
DOI
出版ステータスPublished - 2015 12 1
外部発表はい

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • モデリングとシミュレーション
  • コンピュータ サイエンスの応用
  • 計算数学

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